Practice Advisory: "Realistic Probability" in Immigration Categorical Approach Cases
IDP, NIP/NLG, June 3, 2021
"The concept of “realistic probability” as an aspect of the categorical approach first emerged in 2007 in a Supreme Court decision, Gonzales v. Duenas-Alvarez, 549 U.S. 183 (2007). In that decision, and in Moncrieffe v. Holder, 569 U.S. 184 (2013), and subsequent categorical approach cases, the Court has treated realistic probability as being applicable to determining whether a statute...